Coming in late, but the surprising thing on Yudkowsky’s models is that compute was way more important than he realized, with it usually being 50⁄50 on the most favorable models to Yudkowsky, which means compute increases are not negligible, and algorithms aren’t totally dominant.
Even granting the assumption that algorithms will increasingly be a bottleneck, and compute being less important, Yudkowsky way overrated the power of algorithms/thinking hard compared to just getting more resources/scaling.
Coming in late, but the surprising thing on Yudkowsky’s models is that compute was way more important than he realized, with it usually being 50⁄50 on the most favorable models to Yudkowsky, which means compute increases are not negligible, and algorithms aren’t totally dominant.
Even granting the assumption that algorithms will increasingly be a bottleneck, and compute being less important, Yudkowsky way overrated the power of algorithms/thinking hard compared to just getting more resources/scaling.