I don’t remember this post. Weird. I’ve updated on it thou; my evidence is indeed even weaker than that,a nd you are absolutely correct in every point. I’ve updated to the point where my own estimate and my estimation of the comunitys estimate are indistinguishable.
Interesting, I will be more likely to reply to messages that I feel end the conversation like your last one on this post:
It feels like this one caused my to update far more in the direction f basilisks being unlikely than anything else in this thread, although I don’t know exactly how much.
maybe 12-24 hours later just in case the likelihood of update has been reduced by one or both parties having a late night conversation or other mind altering effects.
I don’t remember this post. Weird. I’ve updated on it thou; my evidence is indeed even weaker than that,a nd you are absolutely correct in every point. I’ve updated to the point where my own estimate and my estimation of the comunitys estimate are indistinguishable.
Interesting, I will be more likely to reply to messages that I feel end the conversation like your last one on this post:
maybe 12-24 hours later just in case the likelihood of update has been reduced by one or both parties having a late night conversation or other mind altering effects.
Good idea, please do that.