It is very strange to me that claiming c/c is an X-risk is the position that requires explaining, rather than the opposite (as is the amount of scepsis/shading thrown at c/c on LW in general).
I IPCC summary for policy makers doesn’t say that policy makers should be worried about global warming causing human extinction.
The position of treating c/c as an X-risk is either treating it as a risk with p<0.01 or it’s a position of skepticism of the IPCC scientific consensus.
This doesn’t match with the information I have gathered. I would hope you are right – if you are, it is at best still a simplified stance. c/c already causes chaos in some parts of the world and will continue to do so. That can and will cause interventions which adds fuel to international tensions.
The narrative you are laying out seems to be possible, but there are also numerous ways in which c/c can lead to extinction.
I IPCC summary for policy makers doesn’t say that policy makers should be worried about global warming causing human extinction.
The position of treating c/c as an X-risk is either treating it as a risk with p<0.01 or it’s a position of skepticism of the IPCC scientific consensus.
This doesn’t match with the information I have gathered. I would hope you are right – if you are, it is at best still a simplified stance. c/c already causes chaos in some parts of the world and will continue to do so. That can and will cause interventions which adds fuel to international tensions.
The narrative you are laying out seems to be possible, but there are also numerous ways in which c/c can lead to extinction.