This is a really good comment, and I would love to hear responses to objections of this flavour from Eliezer etc.
Saying “we haven’t had a nuclear exchange with Russia yet, therefor our foreign policy and diplomatic strategy is good” is an obvious fallacy. Maybe we’ve just been lucky.
I mean it’s less about whether or not it’s good as much as it is trying to work out the likelihood of whether policies resulting from Trump’s election are going to be worse. You can presuppose that current policies are awful and still think that Trump is likely to make things much worse.
This is a really good comment, and I would love to hear responses to objections of this flavour from Eliezer etc.
I mean it’s less about whether or not it’s good as much as it is trying to work out the likelihood of whether policies resulting from Trump’s election are going to be worse. You can presuppose that current policies are awful and still think that Trump is likely to make things much worse.