TakeOnIt now predicts expert opinions, using collaborative filtering. It also identifes whether an expert’s known opinions are conforming or non-conforming relative to the group of experts they typically align with. It’s a first attempt. It should improve over time with 1) algorithm refinement 2) more data.
Note that ambiguous questions like “Does God Exist?” dilute the quality of the predictions (in this case, many experts agree that a “metaphorical” God exists). It may therefore be a good idea to split that question into separate questions to avoid this issue.
TakeOnIt now predicts expert opinions, using collaborative filtering. It also identifes whether an expert’s known opinions are conforming or non-conforming relative to the group of experts they typically align with. It’s a first attempt. It should improve over time with 1) algorithm refinement 2) more data.
Examples:
Robin Hanson’s Opinions
Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Opinions
Barack Obama’s Opinions
Note that ambiguous questions like “Does God Exist?” dilute the quality of the predictions (in this case, many experts agree that a “metaphorical” God exists). It may therefore be a good idea to split that question into separate questions to avoid this issue.