The judge decides the winner by evaluating whether the final statement is true or not.
“True or not” makes it sound symmetrical, but the choice is between ‘very confident that it’s true’ and ‘anything else’. Something like ’80% confident’ goes into the second category.
One thing I would like to be added is just that I come out moderately optimistic about Debate. It’s not too difficult for me to imagine the counter-factual world where I think about FC and find reasons to be pessimistic about Debate, so I take the fact that I didn’t as non-zero evidence.
Changed to “The judge decides the winner based on whether they can confidently verify the final statement or not.”
One thing I would like to be added is just that I come out moderately optimistic about Debate. It’s not too difficult for me to imagine the counter-factual world where I think about FC and find reasons to be pessimistic about Debate, so I take the fact that I didn’t as non-zero evidence.
Added a line to the end of the summary:
On the other hand, the author is cautiously optimistic about debate.
This is an accurate summary, minus one detail:
“True or not” makes it sound symmetrical, but the choice is between ‘very confident that it’s true’ and ‘anything else’. Something like ’80% confident’ goes into the second category.
One thing I would like to be added is just that I come out moderately optimistic about Debate. It’s not too difficult for me to imagine the counter-factual world where I think about FC and find reasons to be pessimistic about Debate, so I take the fact that I didn’t as non-zero evidence.
Changed to “The judge decides the winner based on whether they can confidently verify the final statement or not.”
Added a line to the end of the summary:
Cool, thanks.