I don’t know your mind, you tell me? What exactly is it that you find worrying?
My possibly-incorrect guess is that you’re worried about something like “the community turning into an echo chamber that only promotes Eliezer’s views and makes its members totally ignore expert opinion when forming their views”. But if that was your worry, the presence of highly upvoted criticisms of Eliezer’s views should do a lot to help, since it shows that the community does still take into account (and even actively reward!) well-reasoned opinions that show dissent from the tribal leaders.
So since you still seem to be worried despite the presence of those comments, I’m assuming that your worry is something slightly different, but I’m not entirely sure of what.
One problem is that the community has few people actually engaged enough with cutting edge AI / machine learning / whatever-the-respectable-people-call-it-this-decade research to have opinions that are grounded in where the actual research is right now. So a lot of the discussion is going to consist of people either staying quiet or giving uninformed opinions to keep the conversation going. And what incentive structures there are here mostly work for a social club, so there aren’t really that many checks and balances that keep things from drifting further away from being grounded in actual reality instead of the local social reality.
Ilya actually is working with cutting edge machine learning, so I pay attention to his expressions of frustration and appreciate that he persists in hanging out here.
Say I am worried about this tribal thing happening a lot—what would put my mind more at ease?
I don’t know your mind, you tell me? What exactly is it that you find worrying?
My possibly-incorrect guess is that you’re worried about something like “the community turning into an echo chamber that only promotes Eliezer’s views and makes its members totally ignore expert opinion when forming their views”. But if that was your worry, the presence of highly upvoted criticisms of Eliezer’s views should do a lot to help, since it shows that the community does still take into account (and even actively reward!) well-reasoned opinions that show dissent from the tribal leaders.
So since you still seem to be worried despite the presence of those comments, I’m assuming that your worry is something slightly different, but I’m not entirely sure of what.
One problem is that the community has few people actually engaged enough with cutting edge AI / machine learning / whatever-the-respectable-people-call-it-this-decade research to have opinions that are grounded in where the actual research is right now. So a lot of the discussion is going to consist of people either staying quiet or giving uninformed opinions to keep the conversation going. And what incentive structures there are here mostly work for a social club, so there aren’t really that many checks and balances that keep things from drifting further away from being grounded in actual reality instead of the local social reality.
Ilya actually is working with cutting edge machine learning, so I pay attention to his expressions of frustration and appreciate that he persists in hanging out here.
Agreed both with this being a real risk, and it being good that Ilya hangs out here.