We shouldn’t under-rate the power of insight, but we shouldn’t over-rate it either; some systems can just be a mass of details, and to master such systems you must master those details. And if you pin your hopes for AI progress on powerful future insights, you have to ask how often such insights occur, and how many we would need. The track record so far doesn’t look especially encouraging.
We shouldn’t under-rate the power of insight, but we shouldn’t over-rate it either; some systems can just be a mass of details, and to master such systems you must master those details. And if you pin your hopes for AI progress on powerful future insights, you have to ask how often such insights occur, and how many we would need. The track record so far doesn’t look especially encouraging.