When you’re thinking “in explicit mode”—seriously trying to assess probabilities, considering the possibility that your own judgement might be in error, etc. -- you should (1) take account of your feelings and hunches and whatnot, but (2) not take them at face value. E.g., Douglas Crockford should think “This is only a gut feeling, but I’ve found that my gut feelings in this field are right much more often than they’re wrong. So my gut feeling is good evidence.”
This evidence is (at least in principle) communicable. In fact, it seems like to some extent it’s been successfully communicated to you. If Douglas Crockford ever tells you of a gut feeling he has about something related to good Javascript programming style, you will take it seriously and may well modify how you write your code.
Now, if Crockford is operating in system-1 mode instead, just going with what his gut tells him, then indeed his evidence isn’t communicable to you. I don’t see why this is of more concern than the fact that when a cricket fielder is catching a ball, the information his eyes are feeding him that helps him catch the ball isn’t communicable to you.
I don’t see why this is of more concern than the fact that when a cricket fielder is catching a ball, the information his eyes are feeding him that helps him catch the ball isn’t communicable to you.
Hmm; seems like that’s the whole point of the article. When you’re evaluating claims, you prefer communicable information because that″s the social standard. The moral is that that’s often unnecessary or misguided. So, your response seems like hindsight bias to me.
When you’re thinking “in explicit mode”—seriously trying to assess probabilities, considering the possibility that your own judgement might be in error, etc. -- you should (1) take account of your feelings and hunches and whatnot, but (2) not take them at face value. E.g., Douglas Crockford should think “This is only a gut feeling, but I’ve found that my gut feelings in this field are right much more often than they’re wrong. So my gut feeling is good evidence.”
This evidence is (at least in principle) communicable. In fact, it seems like to some extent it’s been successfully communicated to you. If Douglas Crockford ever tells you of a gut feeling he has about something related to good Javascript programming style, you will take it seriously and may well modify how you write your code.
Now, if Crockford is operating in system-1 mode instead, just going with what his gut tells him, then indeed his evidence isn’t communicable to you. I don’t see why this is of more concern than the fact that when a cricket fielder is catching a ball, the information his eyes are feeding him that helps him catch the ball isn’t communicable to you.
Hmm; seems like that’s the whole point of the article. When you’re evaluating claims, you prefer communicable information because that″s the social standard. The moral is that that’s often unnecessary or misguided. So, your response seems like hindsight bias to me.