Downvoted because I don’t think the evidence presented here is strong enough to justify the claims made by, e.g. the title. After reading this I’m left with a lot of questions like:
are we currently suffering a disaster caused by long influenza?
are some countries locally suffering a disaster of long SARS?
long AIDS?
our systems seem to route around a large chunk of people not working, are we sure this would be a disaster?
what makes us so sure long COVID will be uniquely bad?
At least personally I want to see posts on Less Wrong that, when they make bold, confident assertions like this post does, put in substantial effort to back them up OR make it clear that they are bold, speculative assertion. I’m judging this post based on its tone, and as a post in the category of bold, confident assertions, and the lack of evidence presented to back the assertions makes me dislike it.
I thought about giving the long flu example, but flu is much less contagious than covid and does not infect everyone yearly. That holds even more for SARS or MERS.
Downvoted because I don’t think the evidence presented here is strong enough to justify the claims made by, e.g. the title. After reading this I’m left with a lot of questions like:
are we currently suffering a disaster caused by long influenza?
are some countries locally suffering a disaster of long SARS?
long AIDS?
our systems seem to route around a large chunk of people not working, are we sure this would be a disaster?
what makes us so sure long COVID will be uniquely bad?
At least personally I want to see posts on Less Wrong that, when they make bold, confident assertions like this post does, put in substantial effort to back them up OR make it clear that they are bold, speculative assertion. I’m judging this post based on its tone, and as a post in the category of bold, confident assertions, and the lack of evidence presented to back the assertions makes me dislike it.
I thought about giving the long flu example, but flu is much less contagious than covid and does not infect everyone yearly. That holds even more for SARS or MERS.