shows a marked decrease in disability levels in 2020, suggesting. There are reasonable explanations for that, but it only makes me more skeptical the methodology is a match for the question you’re trying to answer.
I haven’t done the math, there could still be an uptick in age-adjusted risk of disability. But this graph doesn’t show it.
What we do know is that from 2010 − 2021, the number of disabled people in the US rose by about 11%, while the population rose by about 6%. Then in 2021, the number of disabled people begins to spike, and is now up 13% alone in the last 2.5 years, while the US population is only up about 1% in the same timespan.
That is a huge increase. Something is obviously causing a sharp increase in disabled people. What could that be? Could it be the novel virus that has a proven mechanism to make people disabled that began spreading through the population as restrictions were lifted in 2021?
You can see that the number of people in the US with a disability (according to the Fed) has surged since COVID. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU00074597
That’s not perfect, but it’s a compelling proxy.
that graph:
uses raw total, not adjusted for population size
is not adjusted for age of population either
doesn’t define disability on that page
shows a marked decrease in disability levels in 2020, suggesting. There are reasonable explanations for that, but it only makes me more skeptical the methodology is a match for the question you’re trying to answer.
I haven’t done the math, there could still be an uptick in age-adjusted risk of disability. But this graph doesn’t show it.
Sure. Here’s the thing: We don’t have that data.
What we do know is that from 2010 − 2021, the number of disabled people in the US rose by about 11%, while the population rose by about 6%. Then in 2021, the number of disabled people begins to spike, and is now up 13% alone in the last 2.5 years, while the US population is only up about 1% in the same timespan.
That is a huge increase. Something is obviously causing a sharp increase in disabled people. What could that be? Could it be the novel virus that has a proven mechanism to make people disabled that began spreading through the population as restrictions were lifted in 2021?