What does “we really believe” mean? That seems like something we categorically don’t do.
(1) We don’t hold group belief but individuals have different beliefs. (2) We think in terms of probability that are different for different people It seems criticism like that comes from people who don’t understand that we aren’t a religion that specicies what everybody has to believe.
If the people who belief that cryonics works with >0.3 are signed up for cryonics when available while the people who think it only works with ~0.1 are not signed up I don’t see any sign of irrationality.
If the people who belief that cryonics works with >0.3 are signed up for cryonics when available while the people who think it only works with ~0.1 are not signed up I don’t see any sign of irrationality.
Has anybody looked at the data set to check if that’s indeed the case?
I was just summarizing something I remember reading. I searched for every keyword I can think of but I can’t find it.
But I swear there was a post highly critical of lesswrong, and one of the arguments was that. That if such a high percentage of lesswrongers believe in cryonics, why are so few signed up? It was an argument that lesswrong is ineffective.
It was just interesting to me to see the most recent statistics, and a lot of people are signed up, and certainly much higher than the general population.
It would be an argument that lesswrongers are not perfect. Also “lesswrongers” includes people who merely read the website once in a while.
I am completely unsurprised by the fact that mere reading LW articles doesn’t make people perfect.
I would be more bothered by finding out that “lesswrongers” are less rational than the average population, or just some large enough control group that I could easily join instead of LW. But the numbers abour cryonics do not show that.
I think that if LWers are 50,000 times more likely to do something than the general population, that proves neither rationality nor irrationality. It just shows that LWers are chosen by an extremely selective process.
What does “we really believe” mean? That seems like something we categorically don’t do. (1) We don’t hold group belief but individuals have different beliefs.
(2) We think in terms of probability that are different for different people
It seems criticism like that comes from people who don’t understand that we aren’t a religion that specicies what everybody has to believe.
If the people who belief that cryonics works with >0.3 are signed up for cryonics when available while the people who think it only works with ~0.1 are not signed up I don’t see any sign of irrationality.
Has anybody looked at the data set to check if that’s indeed the case?
The linked post contains graphs.
I was just summarizing something I remember reading. I searched for every keyword I can think of but I can’t find it.
But I swear there was a post highly critical of lesswrong, and one of the arguments was that. That if such a high percentage of lesswrongers believe in cryonics, why are so few signed up? It was an argument that lesswrong is ineffective.
It was just interesting to me to see the most recent statistics, and a lot of people are signed up, and certainly much higher than the general population.
It would be an argument that lesswrongers are not perfect. Also “lesswrongers” includes people who merely read the website once in a while.
I am completely unsurprised by the fact that mere reading LW articles doesn’t make people perfect.
I would be more bothered by finding out that “lesswrongers” are less rational than the average population, or just some large enough control group that I could easily join instead of LW. But the numbers abour cryonics do not show that.
I think that if LWers are 50,000 times more likely to do something than the general population, that proves neither rationality nor irrationality. It just shows that LWers are chosen by an extremely selective process.