The last time CM was mentioned on here I looked up his old videos about Fauci. In a video from Sept 2020 he made a very confident claim that NYC had already achieved 70% infections and thereby herd immunity. That turned out to be untrue:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xEFfbEMFHhtgseKz3/covid-6-10-somebody-else-s-problem
So my prior for him is now skewed toward “pundit” rather than “honest inquirer.”
That does make me update towards trusting him less. The video which I previously watched where mostly good with a few irrelevant factual errors.
The last time CM was mentioned on here I looked up his old videos about Fauci. In a video from Sept 2020 he made a very confident claim that NYC had already achieved 70% infections and thereby herd immunity. That turned out to be untrue:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xEFfbEMFHhtgseKz3/covid-6-10-somebody-else-s-problem
So my prior for him is now skewed toward “pundit” rather than “honest inquirer.”
That does make me update towards trusting him less. The video which I previously watched where mostly good with a few irrelevant factual errors.