If the moderator had enough voting power or stake, then it would be a pure prediction market. The decision could be the final voting results. Maybe some mechanism can be designed to ensure the early voters get some profits if the vote is the same as the final voting result. If an incident happens and the other side increase substantially because of it, the final results can also be reversed.
If the moderator had enough voting power or stake, then it would be a pure prediction market. The decision could be the final voting results. Maybe some mechanism can be designed to ensure the early voters get some profits if the vote is the same as the final voting result. If an incident happens and the other side increase substantially because of it, the final results can also be reversed.