There doesn’t seem to be many surveys of the general population on doom type scenarios. Most of them seem to be based on bias/weapons type scenario. You could look at something like metaculus but I don’t think that’s representative of the general population.
There doesn’t seem to be many surveys of the general population on doom type scenarios. Most of them seem to be based on bias/weapons type scenario. You could look at something like metaculus but I don’t think that’s representative of the general population.
Here’s a breakdown of AI researchers: https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/ (median /mean of extinction is 5%/14%)
US Public: https://governanceai.github.io/US-Public-Opinion-Report-Jan-2019/general-attitudes-toward-ai.html (12% of americans think it will be “extremely bad i.e extinction)
Based on the very weak data above, it doesn’t seem like a huge divergence of opinion specifially for x-risk