I deeply sympathize with the presumptuous philosopher but 1a feels weird.
Yep! I have the same intuition
Actually putting numbers on 2a (I have a post on this coming soon), the anthropic update seems to say (conditional on non-simulation) there’s almost certainly lots of aliens all of which are quiet, which feels really surprising.
Yep! I have the same intuition
Nice! I look forward to seeing this. I did similar analysis—both considering SIA + no simulations and SIA + simulations in my work on grabby aliens