Are you aware that AI safety is not considered a real issue by the Chinese intelligentsia? The limits of AI safety awareness here are surface-level discussions of Western AI Safety ideas. Not a single Chinese researcher, as far as I can recall, has actually said anything like “AI will kill us all by default if it is not aligned”.
Given the chip ban, any attempts at an AI control treaty will be viewed as an attempt to prevent China from overtaking the US in terms of AI hegemony. The only conditions to an AI control treaty that Beijing will accept will also allow it to reach transformative AGI first. Which it then will, because we don’t think AI safety is a real concern, the same way you don’t think the Christian rapture is a real concern.
The CCP does not think like the West. Nothing says it has to take Western concerns seriously. WE DON’T BELIEVE IN AI RUIN.
Nobody in the US cared either, three years earlier. That superintelligence will kill everyone on Earth is a truth, and once which has gotten easier and easier to figure out over the years. I have not entirely written off the chance that, especially as the evidence gets more obvious, people on Earth will figure out this true fact and maybe even do something about it and survive. I likewise am not assuming that China is incapable of ever figuring out this thing that is true. If your opinion of Chinese intelligence is lower than mine, you are welcome to say, “Even if this is true and the West figures out that it is true, the CCP could never come to understand it”. That could even be true, for all I know, but I do not have present cause to believe it. I definitely don’t believe it about everyone in China; if it were true and a lot of people in the West figured it out, I’d expect a lot of individual people in China to see it too.
Are you aware that AI safety is not considered a real issue by the Chinese intelligentsia? The limits of AI safety awareness here are surface-level discussions of Western AI Safety ideas. Not a single Chinese researcher, as far as I can recall, has actually said anything like “AI will kill us all by default if it is not aligned”.
Given the chip ban, any attempts at an AI control treaty will be viewed as an attempt to prevent China from overtaking the US in terms of AI hegemony. The only conditions to an AI control treaty that Beijing will accept will also allow it to reach transformative AGI first. Which it then will, because we don’t think AI safety is a real concern, the same way you don’t think the Christian rapture is a real concern.
The CCP does not think like the West. Nothing says it has to take Western concerns seriously. WE DON’T BELIEVE IN AI RUIN.
Nobody in the US cared either, three years earlier. That superintelligence will kill everyone on Earth is a truth, and once which has gotten easier and easier to figure out over the years. I have not entirely written off the chance that, especially as the evidence gets more obvious, people on Earth will figure out this true fact and maybe even do something about it and survive. I likewise am not assuming that China is incapable of ever figuring out this thing that is true. If your opinion of Chinese intelligence is lower than mine, you are welcome to say, “Even if this is true and the West figures out that it is true, the CCP could never come to understand it”. That could even be true, for all I know, but I do not have present cause to believe it. I definitely don’t believe it about everyone in China; if it were true and a lot of people in the West figured it out, I’d expect a lot of individual people in China to see it too.