An already very convinced person has a probability distribution already very peaked at his/her own truth, so no amount of evidence, argumentative or factual, could change that. I think Stuart was aiming at rational people who avoid to have peaked opinions on something for which there’s no evidential support. Counter-argument failure is weak evidence, so it won’t sway the zealot, but should sway, albeit by a small quantity, the reasonable.
Yes, but everyone thinks they’re reasonable. Just because I can imagine sufficiently rational behaviour does not make me sufficiently rational on an arbitrary issue for this to hold.
Well, everyone can think they’re reasonable for an arbitrary definition of reasonable. If we take it to be “being moved by small quantity of evidence”, then it is possible to check if we are being reasonable or not, on a subject. I don’t think we have such a poor access to our brain that we aren’t even able to tell if we are convinced or not...
An already very convinced person has a probability distribution already very peaked at his/her own truth, so no amount of evidence, argumentative or factual, could change that.
I think Stuart was aiming at rational people who avoid to have peaked opinions on something for which there’s no evidential support. Counter-argument failure is weak evidence, so it won’t sway the zealot, but should sway, albeit by a small quantity, the reasonable.
Yes, but everyone thinks they’re reasonable. Just because I can imagine sufficiently rational behaviour does not make me sufficiently rational on an arbitrary issue for this to hold.
Well, everyone can think they’re reasonable for an arbitrary definition of reasonable. If we take it to be “being moved by small quantity of evidence”, then it is possible to check if we are being reasonable or not, on a subject.
I don’t think we have such a poor access to our brain that we aren’t even able to tell if we are convinced or not...