As I was reading I was wondering if there was a modern application that you were hinting at—some specific case where you think we might be overconfident today. Do you see specific applications today, or is this just something you think we should keep in mind in general?
In general. When making predictions about AI, no matter how convincing they seem to us, we should remember all the wrong predictions that felt very convincing to past people for reasons that were very reasonable at the time.
As I was reading I was wondering if there was a modern application that you were hinting at—some specific case where you think we might be overconfident today. Do you see specific applications today, or is this just something you think we should keep in mind in general?
In general. When making predictions about AI, no matter how convincing they seem to us, we should remember all the wrong predictions that felt very convincing to past people for reasons that were very reasonable at the time.