The Born rule, combined with the usual counting argument, implies you should say “about 1 million”. The universal prior implies you should say “substantially less than 1 million”. Which will it be?
If you had a mysterious K-complexity-measuring black-box wired to the output—and the output consistently pushed it to the max—I figure the universal prior would predict that it would stay that way in the immediate future.
If you had a mysterious K-complexity-measuring black-box wired to the output—and the output consistently pushed it to the max—I figure the universal prior would predict that it would stay that way in the immediate future.