I don’t think any evidence of that nature would push you into any certainty.
Personally I think it did leak from a lab, and I have held that belief for some time. But that does not mean that I am in any way confident it is right, its just the least uncertain explanation as far as I can can gauge.
And the amount of data I would need to go from “very uncertain” to “very certain”, is something I won’t get access to.
After thinking about it for a while, I realized that it didn’t matter. Lab leak or not, gain of function is what I should worry about.
Obviously if I had evidence that GoF and a leak was the root cause of the pandemic, that would be helpful if I was to try and influence people to do something about GoF. Unfortunately reality seems to be uncooperative.
I don’t think any evidence of that nature would push you into any certainty.
Personally I think it did leak from a lab, and I have held that belief for some time. But that does not mean that I am in any way confident it is right, its just the least uncertain explanation as far as I can can gauge.
And the amount of data I would need to go from “very uncertain” to “very certain”, is something I won’t get access to.
After thinking about it for a while, I realized that it didn’t matter. Lab leak or not, gain of function is what I should worry about.
Obviously if I had evidence that GoF and a leak was the root cause of the pandemic, that would be helpful if I was to try and influence people to do something about GoF. Unfortunately reality seems to be uncooperative.