The concept “AGI” is indeed unfalsifiable, and we shouldn’t expect it to be falsifiable. It’s a descriptor, not a model or a prediction, and so is the wrong type of thing for falsifiability. It’s also slightly vague, but that’s a different objection altogether.
The nearest corresponding falsifiable predictions are along the lines of “an AGI will be publically verified to exist by year X”, for every value of X, or maybe “this particular design with these specifications will create AGI”. Lots of these are already falsified. Others can be, but have not yet been. There are of course also predictions involving the descriptor “AGI” that cannot be falsified.
The concept “AGI” is indeed unfalsifiable, and we shouldn’t expect it to be falsifiable. It’s a descriptor, not a model or a prediction, and so is the wrong type of thing for falsifiability. It’s also slightly vague, but that’s a different objection altogether.
The nearest corresponding falsifiable predictions are along the lines of “an AGI will be publically verified to exist by year X”, for every value of X, or maybe “this particular design with these specifications will create AGI”. Lots of these are already falsified. Others can be, but have not yet been. There are of course also predictions involving the descriptor “AGI” that cannot be falsified.