What kind of reasoning would have allowed me to see MySpace in 2004, and then hypothesize the current craziness as a plausible endpoint of social media? Is this problem easier or harder than the problem of 15-20 year AI forecasting?
Hmm, maybe it would be easier if we focused on one kind/​example of craziness. Is there a particular one you have in mind?
What kind of reasoning would have allowed me to see MySpace in 2004, and then hypothesize the current craziness as a plausible endpoint of social media? Is this problem easier or harder than the problem of 15-20 year AI forecasting?
Hmm, maybe it would be easier if we focused on one kind/​example of craziness. Is there a particular one you have in mind?