My take on the Doomsday Argument is that it boils down to the mundane and rather non-apocalyptic statement: “All other things being equal, I should expect to be born during a period in history when birthrates [of beings in my reference class] are high.”
I can’t quite see why this should imply anything at all about the shape of the population curve in the immediate future, let alone the long-term future.
My take on the Doomsday Argument is that it boils down to the mundane and rather non-apocalyptic statement: “All other things being equal, I should expect to be born during a period in history when birthrates [of beings in my reference class] are high.”
I can’t quite see why this should imply anything at all about the shape of the population curve in the immediate future, let alone the long-term future.