But if there are to be a quadrillion humans, you would be in a very unlikely situation, in the first 0.0...% or something.
Again the finiteness assumption, which presumes the Doomsday (barring infinite lifespan, which is just another infinity) to begin with. This is a trivial tautology. I’m growing more and more disenchanted with this area of research :(
Again the finiteness assumption, which presumes the Doomsday (barring infinite lifespan, which is just another infinity) to begin with. This is a trivial tautology. I’m growing more and more disenchanted with this area of research :(
Which is one of the reason I recommend sidstepping the whole argument, and using “Anthropic decision theory” http://lesswrong.com/lw/891/anthropic_decision_theory_i_sleeping_beauty_and/