I give a fair chance that with additional scaling (a few orders of magnitude, perhaps), and multimodal training data (especially visual and haptic), it could cross the threshold of consciousness, and be part of (or most of) what will call itself AGI (ok, really they’ll just call itself “The People”) after the human era ends.
But I also give a lot of weight to “this is an impressive dead-end”. I don’t know how to narrow my very wide error bars on these possibilities.
I give a fair chance that with additional scaling (a few orders of magnitude, perhaps), and multimodal training data (especially visual and haptic), it could cross the threshold of consciousness, and be part of (or most of) what will call itself AGI (ok, really they’ll just call itself “The People”) after the human era ends.
But I also give a lot of weight to “this is an impressive dead-end”. I don’t know how to narrow my very wide error bars on these possibilities.