Yes, I know; I’ve seen ialdabaoth around the interwebs before.
Conversely, I have had something very much like this same conversation many times before, and it is my experience that this (i.e., my advice) is something that people—even very smart people—do, in fact, miss, like, all the time.
Or rather, it’s not necessarily that they miss it per se (though surprisingly often, it’s exactly that), it’s just that they don’t do it, for various reasons that boil down to “assorted biases”.
In this particular case (I surmise), and in any case in many similar cases (I know), this is exactly the sort of thing Eliezer talks about in Inadequate Equilibria, where people try a thing, but they don’t try doing more of the thing.
But, of course, ialdabaoth is more than welcome to correct me, and I would certainly be willing to take the conversation private, if desired.
P.S.: Whoever’s downvoting my comments: if you’re doing it because you disagree, fair enough (though I’d like to hear why). Otherwise, take note of the fact that ialdabaoth did start this thread, by asking a question. I answered it.
Yes, I know; I’ve seen ialdabaoth around the interwebs before.
Conversely, I have had something very much like this same conversation many times before, and it is my experience that this (i.e., my advice) is something that people—even very smart people—do, in fact, miss, like, all the time.
Or rather, it’s not necessarily that they miss it per se (though surprisingly often, it’s exactly that), it’s just that they don’t do it, for various reasons that boil down to “assorted biases”.
In this particular case (I surmise), and in any case in many similar cases (I know), this is exactly the sort of thing Eliezer talks about in Inadequate Equilibria, where people try a thing, but they don’t try doing more of the thing.
But, of course, ialdabaoth is more than welcome to correct me, and I would certainly be willing to take the conversation private, if desired.
P.S.: Whoever’s downvoting my comments: if you’re doing it because you disagree, fair enough (though I’d like to hear why). Otherwise, take note of the fact that ialdabaoth did start this thread, by asking a question. I answered it.