o #4 assumes a strong correlation between the thing being increased by intelligence-boosting biotech and the thing responsible for choosing to mitigate risks.
o #5 and #6 assume that voting, and similarly egalitarian power sources, will be the primary method whereby the intelligence-boosted minority will exert political power. (As opposed to, for example, making tons of money and buying elections outright, or constructing effective propaganda campaigns, or building giant lasers and threatening to write their names on the moon.)
I’d love to read the justifications for those presumptions if they are written down somewhere. (I do realize you can’t include all your reasoning in a blog comment.)
4 is based on the importance of simply noticing and understanding risks, and on data showing that increased intelligence and education are associated with more enthusiasm for public goods.
5 and 6 depend on the timescale, with the earliest enhancements being fairly limited.
Two observations:
o #4 assumes a strong correlation between the thing being increased by intelligence-boosting biotech and the thing responsible for choosing to mitigate risks.
o #5 and #6 assume that voting, and similarly egalitarian power sources, will be the primary method whereby the intelligence-boosted minority will exert political power. (As opposed to, for example, making tons of money and buying elections outright, or constructing effective propaganda campaigns, or building giant lasers and threatening to write their names on the moon.)
I’d love to read the justifications for those presumptions if they are written down somewhere. (I do realize you can’t include all your reasoning in a blog comment.)
4 is based on the importance of simply noticing and understanding risks, and on data showing that increased intelligence and education are associated with more enthusiasm for public goods. 5 and 6 depend on the timescale, with the earliest enhancements being fairly limited.