Unless the mechanics of the coin is dependent on you calling it tails.
I am not saying this behavior is rational in isolation, but in decisions that matter, it’s a good heuristic. The real-world is very complex and humans are in general very stupid. Empirical testing pays better than a priori reasoning.
Unless the mechanics of the coin is dependent on you calling it tails.
I am not saying this behavior is rational in isolation, but in decisions that matter, it’s a good heuristic. The real-world is very complex and humans are in general very stupid. Empirical testing pays better than a priori reasoning.