I was talking about a discrete probability distribution over two possible states: {meteorite, no meteorite}. You seem to be talking about something else.
Okay. I thought you were talking about real-valued probability distributions from 0 to 1. But I don’t know if you can claim to draw significant conclusions about epistemic rationality from using the wrong type of probability distribution.
I was talking about a discrete probability distribution over two possible states: {meteorite, no meteorite}. You seem to be talking about something else.
Okay. I thought you were talking about real-valued probability distributions from 0 to 1. But I don’t know if you can claim to draw significant conclusions about epistemic rationality from using the wrong type of probability distribution.
What do you mean by “the wrong type of probability distribution”?