Don’t timelines change your views on takeoff speeds? If not, what’s an example piece of evidence that updates your timelines but not your takeoff speeds?
That’s not how the causal arrow works. There are some interesting latent factors which influence both timelines and takeoff speeds, like e.g. “what properties will the first architecture to take off have?”. But then the right move is to ask directly about those latent factors, or directly about takeoff speeds. Timelines are correlated with takeoff speeds, but not really causally upstream.
Don’t timelines change your views on takeoff speeds? If not, what’s an example piece of evidence that updates your timelines but not your takeoff speeds?
That’s not how the causal arrow works. There are some interesting latent factors which influence both timelines and takeoff speeds, like e.g. “what properties will the first architecture to take off have?”. But then the right move is to ask directly about those latent factors, or directly about takeoff speeds. Timelines are correlated with takeoff speeds, but not really causally upstream.