Not sure if it was clear, but the reason I asked was because it seems like if you think the fraction changes significantly before AGI, then the claim that Thane quotes in the top-level comment wouldn’t be true.
Oh, I see. Certainly if the time required to implement our current best idea goes down, then the timescale at which we care about timelines becomes even shorter.
That’s an interesting and potentially relevant question, but a separate question from timelines, and mostly not causally downstream of timelines.
Not sure if it was clear, but the reason I asked was because it seems like if you think the fraction changes significantly before AGI, then the claim that Thane quotes in the top-level comment wouldn’t be true.
Oh, I see. Certainly if the time required to implement our current best idea goes down, then the timescale at which we care about timelines becomes even shorter.