How much longer did your timelines get?
Maybe about a year longer? But then the METR R&D benchmark results came out around the same time and shortened them. Idk what to think now.
I wonder by what factor do you think automated AI R&D speeds up research? How large is the effective compute overhang made possible by the discovery of better architectures and training methods?
How much longer did your timelines get?
Maybe about a year longer? But then the METR R&D benchmark results came out around the same time and shortened them. Idk what to think now.
I wonder by what factor do you think automated AI R&D speeds up research? How large is the effective compute overhang made possible by the discovery of better architectures and training methods?