Less relevant now, but I got the “few years” from the post you linked. There Christiano talked about another gap than AGI → ASI, but since overall he seems to expect linear progress, I thought my conclusion was reasonable. In retrospect, I shouldn’t have made that comment.
Less relevant now, but I got the “few years” from the post you linked. There Christiano talked about another gap than AGI → ASI, but since overall he seems to expect linear progress, I thought my conclusion was reasonable. In retrospect, I shouldn’t have made that comment.