Is it fair to think of this as related to Pascal’s mugging? That problem derived disproportionate EV from “utilities grow faster than complexities” (so we had a utility growing faster than its probability was shrinking), and this one derives them from “if this hypothesis is true, all utilities grow over time” (so we have a utility growing while its probability remains fixed).
Is it fair to think of this as related to Pascal’s mugging? That problem derived disproportionate EV from “utilities grow faster than complexities” (so we had a utility growing faster than its probability was shrinking), and this one derives them from “if this hypothesis is true, all utilities grow over time” (so we have a utility growing while its probability remains fixed).
Yes, very fair indeed. And even correct! :-)