Oops. You’re right. But since I was trying to make the number as low as possible so no one could claim it would be lower, it’s still almost certainly well over $10 million/life. If we look at the recent few years, there’s been about 10 per year, so if we’re still being pessimistic, we have to assume that’s a trend and that there’d be about 100 fatalities per year otherwise, putting it at $10 million/life, still just over the value of statistical life. And still almost certainly an underestimate since 1 hour/year of teacher training is a massive underestimate of the cost, there’s no way it would send school shooting fatalities to 0, etc. But it’s closer than I expected it to be, though.
Oops. You’re right. But since I was trying to make the number as low as possible so no one could claim it would be lower, it’s still almost certainly well over $10 million/life. If we look at the recent few years, there’s been about 10 per year, so if we’re still being pessimistic, we have to assume that’s a trend and that there’d be about 100 fatalities per year otherwise, putting it at $10 million/life, still just over the value of statistical life. And still almost certainly an underestimate since 1 hour/year of teacher training is a massive underestimate of the cost, there’s no way it would send school shooting fatalities to 0, etc. But it’s closer than I expected it to be, though.