Being bad at remembering times when you were wrong is not independent from stupidity through higher status. It’s the problem.
The fact that you can’t remember how often you are wrong might be part of the reason why you generally underestimate the chance of being wrong in the future.
Admitting stuff directly when it happens is good, but it doesn’t help when you afterwards forget that you made a mistake. Our brain can be very clever at editing our own mistakes out of our awareness.
Reviewing all the mistakes you did on a regular basis would be a way to counteract the effect.
My episodic memory is also bad in the way that Eliezer describes—if I don’t semi-consciously take note of an event as it happens, trying to recall the details of that event later is difficult, and gets more difficult as more time passes. However, ‘the last time I discovered that I made a mistake was [time] ago’ and ‘I’ve made mistakes at a rate of [frequency] in [context] recently/in general’ and similar simple facts aren’t subject to that effect—they’re in the realm of semantic, not episodic, memory.
Being bad at remembering times when you were wrong is not independent from stupidity through higher status. It’s the problem.
The fact that you can’t remember how often you are wrong might be part of the reason why you generally underestimate the chance of being wrong in the future. Admitting stuff directly when it happens is good, but it doesn’t help when you afterwards forget that you made a mistake. Our brain can be very clever at editing our own mistakes out of our awareness. Reviewing all the mistakes you did on a regular basis would be a way to counteract the effect.
Not necessarily.
My episodic memory is also bad in the way that Eliezer describes—if I don’t semi-consciously take note of an event as it happens, trying to recall the details of that event later is difficult, and gets more difficult as more time passes. However, ‘the last time I discovered that I made a mistake was [time] ago’ and ‘I’ve made mistakes at a rate of [frequency] in [context] recently/in general’ and similar simple facts aren’t subject to that effect—they’re in the realm of semantic, not episodic, memory.