I think you may have some typos such as ‘for the greatest number for the greatest number’ in paragraph 1 and ‘will start end’ in paragraph 2. But that aside, if I throw in some concrete numbers:
GG1: 1 year of fun, starting today.
GG2: 1 year of fun, starting 3 years from now and ending 4 years from now.
GG3: 2 years of fun, starting 1 year from now and ending 3 years from now.
If you were to heavily time discount, you would probably pick GG1.
If you were to simply want most person years of fun, you would probably pick GG3.
If you were under the impression that this was heavily focused on a survival analysis (Dr. Dystopia, unless stopped, will cause absolutely no effects until the fun starts, and then at the end of the fun period will exterminate everyone forever.) then you might want to pick GG2, since that gives the most time to come up with a plan to stop Dr. Dystopia.
If three people all have comparable utility beliefs except that one is heavily time discounting, one is heavily valuing person years and one is heavily thinking of survival analysis and they need to vote on those scenarios, presumably they have different priors and can begin discussing the various types of evidence they have for those beliefs and can attempt to come to an accurate conclusion.
Does that help? I’m a bit concerned I’m not addressing the core question, but I’m not sure what else to say yet.
I think you may have some typos such as ‘for the greatest number for the greatest number’ in paragraph 1 and ‘will start end’ in paragraph 2. But that aside, if I throw in some concrete numbers:
GG1: 1 year of fun, starting today.
GG2: 1 year of fun, starting 3 years from now and ending 4 years from now.
GG3: 2 years of fun, starting 1 year from now and ending 3 years from now.
If you were to heavily time discount, you would probably pick GG1.
If you were to simply want most person years of fun, you would probably pick GG3.
If you were under the impression that this was heavily focused on a survival analysis (Dr. Dystopia, unless stopped, will cause absolutely no effects until the fun starts, and then at the end of the fun period will exterminate everyone forever.) then you might want to pick GG2, since that gives the most time to come up with a plan to stop Dr. Dystopia.
If three people all have comparable utility beliefs except that one is heavily time discounting, one is heavily valuing person years and one is heavily thinking of survival analysis and they need to vote on those scenarios, presumably they have different priors and can begin discussing the various types of evidence they have for those beliefs and can attempt to come to an accurate conclusion.
Does that help? I’m a bit concerned I’m not addressing the core question, but I’m not sure what else to say yet.