The way I’d think about this: You should have at least 3 good plans for what you would do that you really believe in, and at least one of them should be significantly different from what you are currently doing. I find this really valuable for avoiding accidental inertia, motivated reasoning, or just regular ol’ tunnel vision.
I remain fairly confused about Anthropic despite having thought about it a lot, but in my experience “have two alternate plans you really believe in” is a sort of necessary step for thinking clearly about one’s mainline plan.
The way I’d think about this: You should have at least 3 good plans for what you would do that you really believe in, and at least one of them should be significantly different from what you are currently doing. I find this really valuable for avoiding accidental inertia, motivated reasoning, or just regular ol’ tunnel vision.
I remain fairly confused about Anthropic despite having thought about it a lot, but in my experience “have two alternate plans you really believe in” is a sort of necessary step for thinking clearly about one’s mainline plan.