Eliezer, thanks for the explanation. I’m sorry that you’re getting frustrated to explain this again. I agree with you and understand what you’re trying to explain. It makes perfect sense. But it’s difficult to make the explanation clear and easy for lay people. Also, maybe I didn’t make myself clear in the above post.
I was referring only to the particular experiment. I’m not at all denying that the fallacy exists. I meant that the fallacy doesn’t exist in the context of that experiment alone. I just felt that there could be a better thought out experiment demonstrate it.
I can compare this with reading a good detective story and a bad one. A good one is where you were shown the evidence and you could’ve predicted the murderer but didn’t. A bad one introduces a character relatively late in the story or make one who wasn’t talked about much the murderer. I feel the experiments demonstrating the fallacy to be similar to the latter type of stories, kind of contrived and unnatural.
Eliezer, thanks for the explanation. I’m sorry that you’re getting frustrated to explain this again. I agree with you and understand what you’re trying to explain. It makes perfect sense. But it’s difficult to make the explanation clear and easy for lay people. Also, maybe I didn’t make myself clear in the above post.
I was referring only to the particular experiment. I’m not at all denying that the fallacy exists. I meant that the fallacy doesn’t exist in the context of that experiment alone. I just felt that there could be a better thought out experiment demonstrate it.
I can compare this with reading a good detective story and a bad one. A good one is where you were shown the evidence and you could’ve predicted the murderer but didn’t. A bad one introduces a character relatively late in the story or make one who wasn’t talked about much the murderer. I feel the experiments demonstrating the fallacy to be similar to the latter type of stories, kind of contrived and unnatural.