Low bandwidth Oracle submission: I would be interested in a log scale graph of the Bayesian score of the Solomonoff prior trying to sequence predict our records of history. It should get flatter over time as worse hypotheses get discarded. If it is linear after a very short time, that looks like it figured out the laws of the universe and is simulating it. If it stays convex for a while, that looks like it is using models to approximate history, because then it takes longer to sort the false from the true. If it is flatter during the cold war, that means it learned an anthropic bias toward nuclear war not happening.
Low bandwidth Oracle submission: I would be interested in a log scale graph of the Bayesian score of the Solomonoff prior trying to sequence predict our records of history. It should get flatter over time as worse hypotheses get discarded. If it is linear after a very short time, that looks like it figured out the laws of the universe and is simulating it. If it stays convex for a while, that looks like it is using models to approximate history, because then it takes longer to sort the false from the true. If it is flatter during the cold war, that means it learned an anthropic bias toward nuclear war not happening.