Thx for the Shalizi link. I’m currently slogging my way through Pearl, and Shalizi clarifies things.
At first I thought that AdamBell had invented Evidential Decision Theory from whole cloth, but I discover by Googling that it really exists. Presumably it makes sense for different problems—it certainly did not for the baby-kissing story as presented.
As far as I know, there’s still no non-trivial formalization of the baby-kissing problem (aka Smoking Lesion). I’d be happy to be proved wrong on that.
Thx for the Shalizi link. I’m currently slogging my way through Pearl, and Shalizi clarifies things.
At first I thought that AdamBell had invented Evidential Decision Theory from whole cloth, but I discover by Googling that it really exists. Presumably it makes sense for different problems—it certainly did not for the baby-kissing story as presented.
As far as I know, there’s still no non-trivial formalization of the baby-kissing problem (aka Smoking Lesion). I’d be happy to be proved wrong on that.