I don’t think this post added anything new to the conversation, both because Elizabeth Van Nostrand’s epistemic spot check found essentially the same result previously and because, as I said in the post, it’s “the blog equivalent of a null finding.”
I still think it’s slightly valuable—it’s useful to occasionally replicate reviews.
(For me personally, writing this post was quite valuable—it was a good opportunity to examine the evidence for myself, try to appropriately incorporate the different types of evidence into my prior, and form my own opinions for when clients ask me related questions.)
I don’t think this post added anything new to the conversation, both because Elizabeth Van Nostrand’s epistemic spot check found essentially the same result previously and because, as I said in the post, it’s “the blog equivalent of a null finding.”
I still think it’s slightly valuable—it’s useful to occasionally replicate reviews.
(For me personally, writing this post was quite valuable—it was a good opportunity to examine the evidence for myself, try to appropriately incorporate the different types of evidence into my prior, and form my own opinions for when clients ask me related questions.)