It might be that the right allocation of one’s error identification resources is 90% to identifying biases and fixing System 2 and 10% to overcoming deep psychological distortions in System 1. Or it might be 10% and 90%.
This seems like an important question, but it seems mostly orthogonal to the 5 levels you outline, which seem to be mostly a matter of the timescale on which one intervenes (or how long you wait to see the results of a process before you judge it as good or bad, epistemic or non-epistemic.)
Maybe I’m missing something, but it seems like you could try to correct conscious S1 processes, with feedback on the scale of years, or on the scale of seconds. Likewise, you could try and correct unconscious S2 processes, with feedback on the scale of years, or on the scale of seconds.
Good point. I think they are prima facie orthogonal. Empirically, though, my current take is that many deep psychological distortions affect attention in a way that makes trying to manage them primarily on short time scales extremely difficult compared to managing them on longer time scales.
Imagine, for instance, that you have underlying resignation that causes your S1 to put 5x the search power into generating plausible failure scenarios than plausible success scenarios. This might be really hard to detect on the 5 second level, especially if you don’t have a good estimate of the actual prevalence of plausible failure or success scenarios (or, a good estimate of the actual prevalence of plausible failure or success scenarios, as accessible by your own style of thinking). But on longer time scales, you can see yourself potentially bending too pessimistic and start to investigate why. That might then turn up the resignation.
This seems like an important question, but it seems mostly orthogonal to the 5 levels you outline, which seem to be mostly a matter of the timescale on which one intervenes (or how long you wait to see the results of a process before you judge it as good or bad, epistemic or non-epistemic.)
Maybe I’m missing something, but it seems like you could try to correct conscious S1 processes, with feedback on the scale of years, or on the scale of seconds. Likewise, you could try and correct unconscious S2 processes, with feedback on the scale of years, or on the scale of seconds.
Good point. I think they are prima facie orthogonal. Empirically, though, my current take is that many deep psychological distortions affect attention in a way that makes trying to manage them primarily on short time scales extremely difficult compared to managing them on longer time scales.
Imagine, for instance, that you have underlying resignation that causes your S1 to put 5x the search power into generating plausible failure scenarios than plausible success scenarios. This might be really hard to detect on the 5 second level, especially if you don’t have a good estimate of the actual prevalence of plausible failure or success scenarios (or, a good estimate of the actual prevalence of plausible failure or success scenarios, as accessible by your own style of thinking). But on longer time scales, you can see yourself potentially bending too pessimistic and start to investigate why. That might then turn up the resignation.