These are posts about moving from thought A to thought B, and whether thought B is allowed given thought A.
“Allowed” is of course a very social term, and one that sounds a lot like “will my teacher accept it if I make this inference?”
Which is different from the mathematical mindset of what happens if I make that inference, and is that thing interesting/elegant/useful. What does it capture to have those kinds of inference rules, and does it capture the kind of process I want to run or not?
Moreover, when it comes to Bayesian reasoning and its various generalisations, the correct inference is _inevitable_, and not optional. There is one single credence which is correct to hold given your priors and the evidence you’ve observed. (Compare this to old school rationality, like Popper and Feynman, thought more in terms of you being “allowed” to hold a variety of beliefs as long as you hadn’t been refuted by experiment. I can’t find the reference post for this now, though.)
(The reason I framed it in the style of “am I allowed this thought” / “will my teacher accept it if I make this inference?” is because that’s literally the frame used in the post ;P)
Nitpick. Mildly triggered by:
“Allowed” is of course a very social term, and one that sounds a lot like “will my teacher accept it if I make this inference?”
Which is different from the mathematical mindset of what happens if I make that inference, and is that thing interesting/elegant/useful. What does it capture to have those kinds of inference rules, and does it capture the kind of process I want to run or not?
Moreover, when it comes to Bayesian reasoning and its various generalisations, the correct inference is _inevitable_, and not optional. There is one single credence which is correct to hold given your priors and the evidence you’ve observed. (Compare this to old school rationality, like Popper and Feynman, thought more in terms of you being “allowed” to hold a variety of beliefs as long as you hadn’t been refuted by experiment. I can’t find the reference post for this now, though.)
Agreement.
(The reason I framed it in the style of “am I allowed this thought” / “will my teacher accept it if I make this inference?” is because that’s literally the frame used in the post ;P)