simbad comments on Limits of Current US Prediction Markets (PredictIt Case Study)

[simbad]

I think there are misplaced parentheses in your equations. In section 3, they should be:

$\frac{100}{0.95\ast (\frac{100}{0.4}\ast 0.9+10)}=44.8$

$1-\frac{100}{0.95\ast (\frac{100}{0.61}\ast 0.9+10)}=33.2$

and so on in future equations. Essentially the parentheses should encompass the +10 term as well in all your equations. It seems your personal calculations were correct because the actual probability bounds that you gave match up with this version of the equation.

Thanks for an in-depth writeup!

[aphyer]

Should be fixed now, thanks for the heads-up!