This is the second time you’ve (inaccurately) accused me of something, while simultaneously doing that thing yourself.
In the first case, I quoted a specific claim from your post and argued that it wasn’t well-supported and, interpreted as a statement of fact, was false. In response, you accused me of “rounding off a specific technical claim to the nearest idea they’ve heard before”, and then rounded off my criticism to a misunderstanding of the overall post.
Here, I asked “what justifies claims like [claim you made]”? The essence of my criticism was that you’d made a bold claim while providing approximately zero evidence for it. You accuse me of being uncharitable because I highlighted the “never” part in particular, which you interpreted as me taking you totally literally. But this is itself rather uncharitable, because in fact I’m also uninterested in whether “the probability is literally zero”, and was just trying to highlight that you’d made a strong claim which demands correspondingly strong evidence. If you’d written “almost never” or “very rarely”, I would have responded in approximately the same way: “Almost never? Based on what?” In other words, I was happy to use “never” in whatever sense you intended it, but you then did exactly what you criticised me for, and jumped to a “literally zero” interpretation.
I would suggest being more restrained with such criticisms in the future.
In any case, it’s not unreasonable for you to make a substantive part of your post about “useful heuristics” (even though you do propose them as “beliefs”). It’s not the best, epistemically, but there’s plenty of space in an intellectual ecosystem for memorable, instrumentally useful blog posts. The main problem, from my point of view, is that Less Wrong still seems to think that insight porn is the unit of progress, as judged by engagement and upvotes. You get what you reward, and I wish our reward mechanism were more aligned. But this is a community-level issue which means your post may be interpreted in ways that you didn’t necessarily intend, so it’s probably not too useful for me to continue criticising it (even though I think we do have further territory-level disagreements—e.g. I agree with your statement about happiness, but would also say “nobody is trying their best, and not feeling enough pain is a particularly high ROI dimension along which to notice this”, which I expect you’d disagree with).
This is the second time you’ve (inaccurately) accused me of something, while simultaneously doing that thing yourself.
In the first case, I quoted a specific claim from your post and argued that it wasn’t well-supported and, interpreted as a statement of fact, was false. In response, you accused me of “rounding off a specific technical claim to the nearest idea they’ve heard before”, and then rounded off my criticism to a misunderstanding of the overall post.
Here, I asked “what justifies claims like [claim you made]”? The essence of my criticism was that you’d made a bold claim while providing approximately zero evidence for it. You accuse me of being uncharitable because I highlighted the “never” part in particular, which you interpreted as me taking you totally literally. But this is itself rather uncharitable, because in fact I’m also uninterested in whether “the probability is literally zero”, and was just trying to highlight that you’d made a strong claim which demands correspondingly strong evidence. If you’d written “almost never” or “very rarely”, I would have responded in approximately the same way: “Almost never? Based on what?” In other words, I was happy to use “never” in whatever sense you intended it, but you then did exactly what you criticised me for, and jumped to a “literally zero” interpretation.
I would suggest being more restrained with such criticisms in the future.
In any case, it’s not unreasonable for you to make a substantive part of your post about “useful heuristics” (even though you do propose them as “beliefs”). It’s not the best, epistemically, but there’s plenty of space in an intellectual ecosystem for memorable, instrumentally useful blog posts. The main problem, from my point of view, is that Less Wrong still seems to think that insight porn is the unit of progress, as judged by engagement and upvotes. You get what you reward, and I wish our reward mechanism were more aligned. But this is a community-level issue which means your post may be interpreted in ways that you didn’t necessarily intend, so it’s probably not too useful for me to continue criticising it (even though I think we do have further territory-level disagreements—e.g. I agree with your statement about happiness, but would also say “nobody is trying their best, and not feeling enough pain is a particularly high ROI dimension along which to notice this”, which I expect you’d disagree with).