Some people I know are much more pessimistic about the polls this cycle, due to herding. For example, nonresponse bias might just be massive for Trump voters (across demographic groups), so pollsters end up having to make a series of unprincipled choices with their thumbs on the scales.
Some people I know are much more pessimistic about the polls this cycle, due to herding. For example, nonresponse bias might just be massive for Trump voters (across demographic groups), so pollsters end up having to make a series of unprincipled choices with their thumbs on the scales.