I agree you don’t need to have a comprehensive case for risk to do productive research on it, and overall I am glad that people do in fact work on relevant stuff without getting bogged down in ensuring they can justify every last detail.
I agree it’s possible that people could learn to make a good case. I don’t expect it, because I don’t expect most people to try to learn to make a case that would convince me. You in particular might do so, but I’ve heard of a lot of “outreach to ML researchers” proposals that did not seem likely to do this.
(I’ve edited the quote to say it’s 2⁄19.)
I agree you don’t need to have a comprehensive case for risk to do productive research on it, and overall I am glad that people do in fact work on relevant stuff without getting bogged down in ensuring they can justify every last detail.
I agree it’s possible that people could learn to make a good case. I don’t expect it, because I don’t expect most people to try to learn to make a case that would convince me. You in particular might do so, but I’ve heard of a lot of “outreach to ML researchers” proposals that did not seem likely to do this.