I do think most people are undervaluing their time, but I currently believe that my time now is much more valuable than my time in 10 years, and that i also believe this to be true about your time (like, specifically you, Mark Xu).
I think this is mostly because I think that in worlds where we have any chance of solving the AI Alignment problem, we are currently setting in place a field and network of people who will eventually solve the problem, and the founder effects here seem much larger than the experience effects. As a concrete example, I would value an hour of Larry Page’s time from 20 years ago, much higher than an hour now, because the marginal hour at the time had a decent chance of making the difference between Google succeeding vs. not, whereas his time now doesn’t really seem as high-leverage, even though he theoretically has access to billions of dollars and lots of people to direct. Most of the variance of what Google is working on was determined 20 years ago, and Larry’s ability to affect the world now seems much lower than it was 20 years ago (in hindsight, of course. At the time, it was likely really hard to tell Larry apart from any of the other founders of technology companies, and I wouldn’t have valued his time as highly, with the knowledge of the time, but I think I would gladly trade 5 hours of Larry’s time now, to send them back 20 years)
I do think most people are undervaluing their time, but I currently believe that my time now is much more valuable than my time in 10 years, and that i also believe this to be true about your time (like, specifically you, Mark Xu).
I think this is mostly because I think that in worlds where we have any chance of solving the AI Alignment problem, we are currently setting in place a field and network of people who will eventually solve the problem, and the founder effects here seem much larger than the experience effects. As a concrete example, I would value an hour of Larry Page’s time from 20 years ago, much higher than an hour now, because the marginal hour at the time had a decent chance of making the difference between Google succeeding vs. not, whereas his time now doesn’t really seem as high-leverage, even though he theoretically has access to billions of dollars and lots of people to direct. Most of the variance of what Google is working on was determined 20 years ago, and Larry’s ability to affect the world now seems much lower than it was 20 years ago (in hindsight, of course. At the time, it was likely really hard to tell Larry apart from any of the other founders of technology companies, and I wouldn’t have valued his time as highly, with the knowledge of the time, but I think I would gladly trade 5 hours of Larry’s time now, to send them back 20 years)